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2022-01-11

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 68.7% 31.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% -
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -
Efficiency 48.6% 51.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% -
Log Adjusted 46.3% 53.7% -
Points Off/Def 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: New York Knicks +15 (111-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 30 11-19 1-5 1-1 4 5 2 1 24 - -
Joshua Primo * 27 4-9 2-4 1-2 2 3 1 1 11 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 27 5-19 1-7 4-5 4 2 1 0 15 - -
Keita Bates-Diop * 24 2-6 0-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 4 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 24 6-12 0-0 0-1 10 3 0 2 12 - -
Devontae Cacok 23 3-5 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 2 6 - -
Tyler Johnson 22 1-7 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 1 3 - -
Drew Eubanks 20 3-5 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Bryn Forbes 18 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Joe Wieskamp 11 2-2 2-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Jaylen Morris 6 0-3 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 - -
Anthony Lamb 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 33 1-7 0-3 0-0 12 3 0 1 2 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 31 4-4 0-0 5-9 11 0 1 4 13 - -
Alec Burks * 31 5-10 3-6 3-3 4 2 2 0 16 - -
RJ Barrett * 30 12-20 3-4 4-5 3 4 0 1 31 - -
Evan Fournier * 21 5-12 4-7 4-5 5 2 2 0 18 - -
Quentin Grimes 28 3-7 1-5 0-0 1 6 1 1 7 - -
Immanuel Quickley 25 5-12 2-5 0-0 4 6 0 1 12 - -
Obi Toppin 14 3-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Taj Gibson 13 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 6 - -
Kevin Knox II 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Miles McBride 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jericho Sims 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter