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2022-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 10.9% 89.1% -
Bradley-Terry 23.0% 77.0% -
Margin 12.0% 88.0% +10.9 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.1% 64.9% -
Efficiency 15.4% 84.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.2% 82.8% -
Log Adjusted 17.2% 82.8% -
Points Off/Def 23.1% 76.9% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +3 (101-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 44 3-12 0-0 5-6 23 10 1 0 11 - -
Justin Holiday * 33 2-9 1-6 6-6 4 3 2 0 11 - -
Duane Washington Jr. * 23 4-10 1-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 9 - -
Keifer Sykes * 22 5-13 1-8 0-0 2 3 1 0 11 - -
Myles Turner * 22 2-7 0-4 2-2 3 0 2 3 6 - -
Oshae Brissett 34 2-6 1-2 1-1 4 1 0 3 6 - -
Lance Stephenson 31 5-13 3-6 1-2 4 1 0 0 14 - -
Torrey Craig 31 8-12 3-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 19 - -
Jeremy Lamb 21 5-12 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 11 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 43 11-26 3-6 1-2 15 6 0 1 26 - -
Jayson Tatum * 42 7-21 0-7 10-11 12 1 0 0 24 - -
Robert Williams III * 41 4-5 0-0 6-6 12 1 4 3 14 - -
Marcus Smart * 22 4-11 2-4 1-1 3 1 1 0 11 - -
Al Horford * 22 1-3 1-2 0-0 7 1 1 0 3 - -
Josh Richardson 37 4-9 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 1 9 - -
Grant Williams 26 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 - -
Dennis Schroder 20 0-4 0-2 5-8 1 5 1 0 5 - -
Enes Freedom 7 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 6 - -

* = starter