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2022-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 37.4% 62.6% -
Bradley-Terry 52.0% 48.0% -
Margin 63.2% 36.8% -3.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% -
Efficiency 74.1% 25.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% -
Log Adjusted 75.0% 25.0% -
Points Off/Def 64.4% 35.6% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -8 (119-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 31 4-10 0-2 8-12 5 7 1 1 16 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 29 7-14 1-5 6-7 12 1 1 6 21 - -
Kyle Anderson * 28 6-11 0-3 2-2 7 8 2 2 14 - -
Ziaire Williams * 27 4-9 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 9 - -
Desmond Bane * 25 9-14 5-8 0-1 4 3 3 0 23 - -
John Konchar 21 4-5 3-3 1-3 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Xavier Tillman 18 4-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 9 - -
De'Anthony Melton 18 1-5 0-2 2-2 4 3 1 0 4 - -
Brandon Clarke 16 6-8 0-1 2-3 3 1 1 1 14 - -
Tyus Jones 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 6 0 0 5 - -
Santi Aldama 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jarrett Culver 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Killian Tillie 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 33 14-19 3-4 4-4 9 7 0 0 35 - -
Malik Monk * 29 3-13 1-3 0-0 5 3 0 3 7 - -
Russell Westbrook * 26 2-12 0-1 2-2 7 6 0 1 6 - -
Avery Bradley * 23 2-10 1-5 2-2 1 1 2 0 7 - -
Stanley Johnson * 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 - -
Carmelo Anthony 23 2-8 0-4 3-4 1 1 1 0 7 - -
Austin Reaves 22 6-8 1-2 3-4 0 0 0 1 16 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 18 5-10 3-6 0-1 2 1 0 1 13 - -
Trevor Ariza 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 - -
Wayne Ellington 11 6-7 4-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 16 - -
Dwight Howard 8 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 7 - -
DeAndre Jordan 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 - -
Kent Bazemore 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -

* = starter