Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +14 (113-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine * | 34 | 7-21 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 34 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 32 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Coby White | 27 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Devon Dotson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 8-23 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 29 | 6-11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 29 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 27 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 22 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter