Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -4 (95-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 8-21 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 30 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 25 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 31 | 8-13 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 22 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 22 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 9 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey * | 32 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 31 | 2-14 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-9 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 24 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 17 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 12 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter