Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.2% | 73.8% | +5.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +4 (105-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert Jones * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 31 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 18 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 42 | 8-18 | 3-5 | 10-10 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 39 | 11-27 | 8-17 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter