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2022-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 19.1% 80.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 23.7% 76.3% +6.4 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% -
Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.3% 40.7% -
Log Adjusted 59.3% 40.7% -
Points Off/Def 51.6% 48.4% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -2 (100-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 38 10-19 3-6 4-6 22 1 0 1 27 - -
Bradley Beal * 36 7-22 3-7 3-4 6 7 0 1 20 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 30 3-8 1-4 1-1 1 10 1 0 8 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 29 5-9 2-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 14 - -
Daniel Gafford * 27 6-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 3 12 - -
Raul Neto 25 0-7 0-1 4-4 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Rui Hachimura 14 2-8 0-3 2-4 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Deni Avdija 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Corey Kispert 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 2 - -
Davis Bertans 10 2-4 2-4 1-1 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Greg Monroe 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Anthony * 35 4-17 2-6 2-2 6 2 1 1 12 - -
Chuma Okeke * 34 3-12 1-6 1-1 6 5 3 1 8 - -
Gary Harris * 31 4-9 3-6 0-0 0 1 0 2 11 - -
Franz Wagner * 28 6-13 0-2 4-4 6 1 0 0 16 - -
Mo Bamba * 27 3-11 0-2 4-4 9 0 2 0 10 - -
Terrence Ross 30 13-20 2-4 4-5 2 2 1 0 32 - -
R.J. Hampton 18 2-4 1-1 0-0 5 3 2 0 5 - -
Tim Frazier 15 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 - -
Freddie Gillespie 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 4 - -
Moritz Wagner 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter