Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✗ (26.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -23 (100-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omer Yurtseven * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 28 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 21 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 33 | 12-20 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 28 | 9-17 | 8-16 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 33 | 5-15 | 3-5 | 13-13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 29 | 8-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 31 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 21 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter