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2022-01-09

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 20.7% 79.3% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.1 (16.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 24.6% 75.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.8% 73.2% -
Log Adjusted 26.7% 73.3% -
Points Off/Def 29.9% 70.1% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +24 (99-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 42 7-21 4-9 1-5 6 2 2 0 19 - -
Julius Randle * 37 6-19 1-8 0-0 12 6 1 0 13 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 36 7-11 3-5 1-2 1 4 1 0 18 - -
Alec Burks * 33 2-11 1-4 3-3 4 1 3 1 8 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 28 5-5 0-0 1-4 8 0 0 1 11 - -
Quentin Grimes 27 2-6 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 1 6 - -
Taj Gibson 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 - -
Obi Toppin 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Miles McBride 2 0-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Knox II 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jericho Sims 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 34 9-15 2-4 2-3 11 11 1 0 22 - -
Robert Williams III * 33 6-7 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 4 12 - -
Jayson Tatum * 29 6-14 3-8 4-4 3 1 1 0 19 - -
Marcus Smart * 25 3-9 2-5 2-2 3 2 4 0 10 - -
Al Horford * 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 5 0 1 3 - -
Josh Richardson 29 4-10 2-3 7-8 2 1 1 1 17 - -
Dennis Schroder 21 3-8 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 6 - -
Grant Williams 21 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 2 6 - -
Enes Freedom 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 - -
Aaron Nesmith 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Romeo Langford 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Bruno Fernando 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Sam Hauser 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter