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2022-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 19.6% 80.4% -
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% -
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 45.3% 54.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% -
Log Adjusted 46.8% 53.2% -
Points Off/Def 43.0% 57.0% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +5 (97-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Anthony * 36 5-18 3-12 6-8 8 6 2 0 19 - -
Gary Harris * 34 8-17 6-12 6-6 6 2 1 0 28 - -
Mo Bamba * 28 2-7 1-4 0-0 7 2 0 4 5 - -
Franz Wagner * 27 4-10 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 9 - -
Freddie Gillespie * 13 1-3 0-1 0-1 2 2 0 1 2 - -
Terrence Ross 31 3-10 1-4 6-6 5 2 0 1 13 - -
Chuma Okeke 26 1-8 1-6 0-0 10 3 0 0 3 - -
R.J. Hampton 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 2 1 5 - -
Moritz Wagner 12 3-5 0-1 2-2 0 1 1 1 8 - -
Tim Frazier 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 - -
Admiral Schofield 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 36 7-16 2-4 0-0 6 3 0 0 16 - -
Cade Cunningham * 31 3-14 0-5 6-8 3 5 1 0 12 - -
Hamidou Diallo * 28 8-17 1-4 0-0 6 0 3 1 17 - -
Killian Hayes * 23 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 5 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 20 3-5 0-1 0-1 8 1 0 2 6 - -
Trey Lyles 27 7-10 1-2 1-2 13 2 1 2 16 - -
Cory Joseph 23 2-4 1-3 3-3 5 5 0 0 8 - -
Josh Jackson 18 4-10 2-6 1-2 4 1 0 0 11 - -
Saben Lee 17 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 3 1 1 6 - -
Rodney McGruder 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter