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2022-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 39.1% 60.9% -
Bradley-Terry 62.7% 37.3% -
Margin 79.0% 21.0% -7.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 64.1% 35.9% -
Efficiency 81.4% 18.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.6% 21.4% -
Log Adjusted 78.7% 21.3% -
Points Off/Def 66.8% 33.2% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -13 (101-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 38 10-17 5-8 1-1 1 6 1 0 26 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 33 4-9 2-6 5-6 1 5 1 1 15 - -
Jarrett Allen * 33 5-6 0-0 3-4 13 1 2 0 13 - -
Evan Mobley * 33 7-14 0-0 4-8 8 3 1 2 18 - -
Lamar Stevens * 16 1-5 0-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Cedi Osman 30 5-9 4-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 14 - -
Kevin Love 26 3-9 2-6 0-2 7 2 0 0 8 - -
Rajon Rondo 16 2-9 2-8 5-6 5 3 1 0 11 - -
Dylan Windler 9 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 36 5-14 4-8 5-8 5 3 1 0 19 - -
Robert Covington * 34 6-9 5-8 0-0 8 1 1 2 17 - -
Anfernee Simons * 34 6-15 2-8 0-0 3 7 1 1 14 - -
Nassir Little * 31 3-9 2-4 0-2 8 0 0 0 8 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 31 5-17 2-2 2-4 12 4 2 1 14 - -
Ben McLemore 18 2-8 1-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 17 4-8 0-0 2-2 3 4 1 1 10 - -
Trendon Watford 13 1-4 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 4 - -
Cody Zeller 11 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 6 - -
CJ Elleby 11 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 4 - -

* = starter