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2022-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 52.0% 48.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.7% 55.3% -
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% -
Efficiency 63.5% 36.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Log Adjusted 63.0% 37.0% -
Points Off/Def 54.9% 45.1% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +16 (134-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 35 8-21 1-7 8-10 9 14 0 0 25 - -
John Collins * 32 8-17 0-0 5-5 8 0 0 0 21 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 27 5-12 4-9 1-2 4 2 1 0 15 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot * 23 0-5 0-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 - -
Clint Capela * 22 4-9 0-0 1-5 11 0 1 0 9 - -
Kevin Huerter 28 6-10 4-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 16 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 18 5-5 0-0 2-3 7 0 0 0 12 - -
Danilo Gallinari 18 4-6 3-5 2-2 5 2 0 0 13 - -
Delon Wright 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 5 0 0 2 - -
Cam Reddish 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Sharife Cooper 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Skylar Mays 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 13-24 1-6 5-5 8 9 4 3 32 - -
Malik Monk * 34 11-20 7-12 0-0 4 3 2 0 29 - -
Russell Westbrook * 31 4-14 0-0 1-3 11 13 0 0 9 - -
Avery Bradley * 23 8-11 4-7 1-1 6 0 0 0 21 - -
Stanley Johnson * 19 1-2 0-1 1-1 2 2 2 1 3 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 30 7-13 1-4 6-6 1 5 2 0 21 - -
Carmelo Anthony 27 5-10 4-7 3-3 7 2 2 0 17 - -
Austin Reaves 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 - -
Trevor Ariza 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Dwight Howard 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Kent Bazemore 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter