Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (121-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 37 | 11-23 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 20 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 28 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - | |
| Damian Jones * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Alex Len | 27 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 27 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 25 | 3-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Maurice Harkless | 8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Robert Woodard II | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Jahmi'us Ramsey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 33 | 13-20 | 3-6 | 4-8 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 34 | - | |
| Will Barton * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| JaMychal Green * | 22 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 15 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 15 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter