Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✗ (24.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -24 (106-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxi Kleber * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 23 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 23 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 25 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 24 | 5-11 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 19 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 16 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 15 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 26 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 24 | 8-13 | 1-5 | 3-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 25 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 21 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 20 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 14 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trevelin Queen | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter