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2022-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 19.5% 80.5% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 18.1% 81.9% +8.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% -
Log Adjusted 35.1% 64.9% -
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +8 (130-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 35 7-17 0-4 7-8 11 2 2 1 21 - -
Bradley Beal * 33 9-14 2-4 6-6 3 6 1 0 26 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 31 4-9 1-3 9-9 3 4 2 0 18 - -
Daniel Gafford * 27 7-9 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 14 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 26 5-9 2-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 14 - -
Corey Kispert 23 4-10 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 2 9 - -
Deni Avdija 19 3-7 1-4 1-1 1 1 1 0 8 - -
Greg Monroe 14 4-7 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 8 - -
Aaron Holiday 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 - -
Raul Neto 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Todd 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 34 6-11 6-11 0-0 5 6 2 0 18 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 33 8-19 0-4 0-0 14 7 4 0 16 - -
Zach LaVine * 33 9-18 1-6 8-8 1 3 1 0 27 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 31 5-16 0-1 5-6 5 8 0 1 15 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 16 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 31 7-9 3-4 1-2 5 4 3 0 18 - -
Coby White 31 7-8 4-4 3-3 2 3 0 0 21 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Tony Bradley 10 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 8 - -
Jordan Bell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Marko Simonovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter