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2022-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 79.9% 20.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 32.6% 67.4% - ✓
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 ✓ (23.2 off)
Pythagorean 29.4% 70.6% - ✓
Efficiency 10.0% 90.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 11.4% 88.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 11.4% 88.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 18.7% 81.3% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +30 (118-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 32 1-9 1-8 0-1 3 1 2 0 3 - -
Cade Cunningham * 31 5-19 2-10 0-0 5 6 0 0 12 - -
Killian Hayes * 29 2-10 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 1 5 - -
Hamidou Diallo * 25 5-12 0-3 2-3 6 1 0 0 12 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 6 - -
Trey Lyles 25 3-8 1-5 3-4 6 1 1 0 10 - -
Luka Garza 18 3-8 1-4 1-1 4 3 0 0 8 - -
Rodney McGruder 17 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 7 - -
Josh Jackson 15 4-11 0-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 8 - -
Saben Lee 15 4-7 2-2 4-4 2 5 2 0 14 - -
Justin Robinson 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 26 5-13 1-4 0-0 6 0 1 2 11 - -
Ziaire Williams * 25 5-8 2-4 2-2 0 0 2 0 14 - -
Dillon Brooks * 24 8-17 1-4 1-1 3 5 3 2 18 - -
Ja Morant * 24 10-19 0-3 2-2 9 6 0 1 22 - -
Steven Adams * 22 0-2 0-0 2-6 14 4 0 1 2 - -
Brandon Clarke 21 5-9 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 1 11 - -
De'Anthony Melton 20 1-7 1-6 1-1 8 6 1 2 4 - -
Tyus Jones 20 6-7 2-2 0-0 4 4 0 0 14 - -
Killian Tillie 19 2-6 1-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 5 - -
Santi Aldama 18 2-4 0-2 3-5 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Jarrett Culver 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
DaQuan Jeffries 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Dakota Mathias 3 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Jon Teske 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter