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2022-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 65.8% 34.2% -
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% -
Margin 63.7% 36.3% -3.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -
Efficiency 69.4% 30.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.2% 32.8% -
Log Adjusted 67.3% 32.7% -
Points Off/Def 57.6% 42.4% -

Actual: New York Knicks +3 (108-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 39 12-21 6-11 6-6 6 9 2 1 36 - -
Jaylen Brown * 34 6-14 2-8 2-2 7 1 0 0 16 - -
Robert Williams III * 34 3-3 0-0 0-0 9 1 2 7 6 - -
Al Horford * 30 3-8 1-6 0-0 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Marcus Smart * 30 4-12 4-10 2-2 2 5 0 0 14 - -
Dennis Schroder 27 8-12 2-4 2-3 5 3 0 0 20 - -
Josh Richardson 16 2-7 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Grant Williams 15 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 2 0 - -
Enes Freedom 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Fournier * 41 15-25 10-14 1-3 8 2 1 1 41 - -
Julius Randle * 38 8-20 2-8 4-6 8 2 2 0 22 - -
Alec Burks * 37 1-10 1-4 0-0 9 7 1 0 3 - -
RJ Barrett * 33 4-15 2-4 3-4 3 6 0 0 13 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 27 3-3 0-0 1-1 4 0 2 0 7 - -
Immanuel Quickley 25 6-12 3-5 1-1 2 3 1 0 16 - -
Taj Gibson 20 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 6 - -
Obi Toppin 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Quentin Grimes 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter