Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -6 (102-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delon Wright * | 39 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 36 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot * | 36 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 21 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 32 | 10-18 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 24 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - | |
| Lou Williams | 19 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 38 | 8-16 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 37 | 12-23 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 16 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Damian Jones * | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 22 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 28 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 21 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | - | |
| Maurice Harkless | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Alex Len | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter