Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.5% | 31.5% | -4.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -6 (109-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Martin * | 36 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 7-12 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven * | 31 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 31 | 9-17 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 35 | 5-23 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 16 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell * | 40 | 7-18 | 3-7 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 39 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 5-5 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 33 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little * | 33 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington | 28 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| CJ Elleby | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter