Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -6 (109-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 40 | 12-20 | 1-6 | 11-13 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 36 | 8-22 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 36 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Udoka Azubuike * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 30 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 28 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 38 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 37 | 10-17 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 21 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 8-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 29 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 20 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Rayjon Tucker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter