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2022-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 49.2% 50.8% -
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% -
Margin 33.0% 67.0% +3.9 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% -
Log Adjusted 43.4% 56.6% -
Points Off/Def 40.6% 59.4% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -6 (111-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 41 13-23 2-4 5-7 5 6 3 1 33 - -
Fred VanVleet * 38 7-18 5-10 0-0 3 5 2 1 19 - -
Scottie Barnes * 37 2-6 0-2 2-4 6 4 1 0 6 - -
OG Anunoby * 35 6-10 4-7 6-8 6 2 0 0 22 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 31 8-17 3-10 3-4 5 2 0 1 22 - -
Precious Achiuwa 16 2-6 1-1 1-2 8 3 1 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 14 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Khem Birch 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 - -
Justin Champagnie 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 6 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Nwora * 40 7-15 3-9 0-0 6 2 1 0 17 - -
Jrue Holiday * 36 5-15 3-6 2-4 8 12 1 3 15 - -
Khris Middleton * 33 9-16 1-3 6-8 6 4 1 2 25 - -
Wesley Matthews * 28 3-7 3-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Bobby Portis * 21 4-9 2-3 1-2 6 0 1 1 11 - -
Rodney Hood 24 3-5 2-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 9 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 22 2-8 1-4 5-6 5 0 2 1 10 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 19 5-8 2-3 3-4 10 0 3 1 15 - -
Javonte Smart 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter