Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | -0.7 | ✗ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +17 (99-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 5-24 | 1-9 | 3-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II * | 24 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 23 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 19 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Chris Chiozza | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 37 | 6-15 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 35 | 1-9 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 34 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 7-18 | 2-8 | 10-12 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 27 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 25 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter