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2022-01-06

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 44.7% 55.3% -
Bradley-Terry 24.0% 76.0% -
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.2% 73.8% -
Log Adjusted 26.1% 73.9% -
Points Off/Def 29.8% 70.2% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -2 (97-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jakob Poeltl * 35 4-7 0-0 0-0 14 1 1 1 8 18 -
Keldon Johnson * 32 5-10 3-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 13 10 -
Dejounte Murray * 32 11-21 0-2 0-0 9 12 3 0 22 25 -
Devin Vassell * 32 7-14 2-7 1-1 6 0 0 2 17 11 -
Derrick White * 30 7-17 3-7 0-0 4 2 0 2 17 8 -
Keita Bates-Diop 24 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 6 7 -
Bryn Forbes 23 2-8 1-4 3-3 1 1 0 0 8 2 -
Jock Landale 12 2-2 1-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
Tre Jones 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 -
Joshua Primo 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 6-20 1-6 6-6 8 3 0 2 19 12 -
Jaylen Brown * 35 12-25 4-8 2-3 6 1 2 1 30 15 -
Marcus Smart * 33 6-12 2-4 0-0 5 6 3 1 14 17 -
Robert Williams III * 32 3-5 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 2 6 15 -
Al Horford * 26 2-7 0-3 0-0 7 5 0 1 4 10 -
Dennis Schroder 25 7-14 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 15 7 -
Grant Williams 21 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Josh Richardson 20 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 3 0 7 7 -
Romeo Langford 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -

* = starter