Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.5% | 31.5% | -4.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -3 (111-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 35 | 3-13 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 33 | 8-17 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 33 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 32 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 14 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 43 | 9-20 | 0-8 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 39 | 10-16 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 33 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 29 | 9-25 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 31 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Craig Sword | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter