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2022-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 79.3% 20.7% -
Bradley-Terry 53.3% 46.7% -
Margin 52.3% 47.7% -0.5 (29.5 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% -
Efficiency 21.1% 78.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% -
Log Adjusted 26.2% 73.8% -
Points Off/Def 29.5% 70.5% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +29 (140-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 26 6-12 4-9 0-0 2 7 2 0 16 - -
Saddiq Bey * 26 4-13 3-9 0-0 3 1 1 0 11 - -
Killian Hayes * 24 3-5 1-2 1-2 1 4 3 0 8 - -
Trey Lyles * 23 7-13 1-2 2-4 7 1 0 0 17 - -
Hamidou Diallo * 23 4-7 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 9 - -
Josh Jackson 25 6-12 0-5 3-5 5 2 1 1 15 - -
Justin Robinson 25 3-9 3-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Rodney McGruder 21 3-8 2-6 0-0 2 3 2 0 8 - -
Saben Lee 18 3-5 0-0 1-3 2 5 1 2 7 - -
Micah Potter 15 3-6 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 0 8 - -
Luka Garza 8 1-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 29 4-11 3-9 1-2 8 12 1 1 12 - -
Terry Rozier * 28 6-11 4-7 0-0 3 6 0 0 16 - -
Gordon Hayward * 25 7-11 1-3 4-4 6 4 1 0 19 - -
Miles Bridges * 25 6-8 3-3 4-7 2 3 0 1 19 - -
Mason Plumlee * 19 2-2 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 0 5 - -
P.J. Washington 24 4-6 2-4 4-8 8 4 1 0 14 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 23 10-16 9-14 3-3 6 0 0 1 32 - -
Jalen McDaniels 21 4-5 1-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 9 - -
Cody Martin 18 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 5 - -
Ish Smith 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -
Kai Jones 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
James Bouknight 4 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Nick Richards 4 2-3 0-0 3-3 2 0 1 0 7 - -
JT Thor 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter