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2022-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% - โœ“
Margin 37.5% 62.5% +2.8 โœ“ (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +8 (122-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 34 3-10 1-5 0-0 4 9 0 0 7 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 33 12-21 2-4 4-4 3 6 0 0 30 - -
Harrison Barnes * 30 5-9 3-6 1-3 6 5 0 0 14 - -
Damian Jones * 28 3-4 0-1 5-6 4 3 0 0 11 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 23 2-6 0-2 0-1 12 1 1 0 4 - -
Buddy Hield 32 8-18 7-13 3-3 5 2 1 1 26 - -
Davion Mitchell 20 4-9 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 1 8 - -
Alex Len 18 4-4 0-0 1-1 8 2 0 0 9 - -
Maurice Harkless 17 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 5 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Monk * 37 8-15 6-11 2-4 4 4 1 1 24 - -
LeBron James * 36 12-26 3-10 4-5 5 5 0 1 31 - -
Russell Westbrook * 33 7-19 0-1 5-8 7 2 1 1 19 - -
Avery Bradley * 21 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 1 7 - -
Trevor Ariza * 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 33 9-13 1-2 0-1 4 6 2 0 19 - -
Austin Reaves 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Dwight Howard 21 6-12 0-0 2-2 14 3 2 0 14 - -
Carmelo Anthony 17 4-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 - -

* = starter