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2022-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 37.5% 62.5% +2.8 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -
Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Log Adjusted 42.7% 57.3% -
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +8 (122-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 34 3-10 1-5 0-0 4 9 0 0 7 10 -
De'Aaron Fox * 33 12-21 2-4 4-4 3 6 0 0 30 18 -
Harrison Barnes * 30 5-9 3-6 1-3 6 5 0 0 14 16 -
Damian Jones * 28 3-4 0-1 5-6 4 3 0 0 11 14 -
Marvin Bagley III * 23 2-6 0-2 0-1 12 1 1 0 4 12 -
Buddy Hield 32 8-18 7-13 3-3 5 2 1 1 26 17 -
Davion Mitchell 20 4-9 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 1 8 2 -
Alex Len 18 4-4 0-0 1-1 8 2 0 0 9 15 -
Maurice Harkless 17 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 5 8 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Monk * 37 8-15 6-11 2-4 4 4 1 1 24 19 -
LeBron James * 36 12-26 3-10 4-5 5 5 0 1 31 16 -
Russell Westbrook * 33 7-19 0-1 5-8 7 2 1 1 19 11 -
Avery Bradley * 21 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 1 7 7 -
Trevor Ariza * 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
Talen Horton-Tucker 33 9-13 1-2 0-1 4 6 2 0 19 18 -
Austin Reaves 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
Dwight Howard 21 6-12 0-0 2-2 14 3 2 0 14 21 -
Carmelo Anthony 17 4-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 5 -

* = starter