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2022-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 79.5% 20.5% -
Bradley-Terry 65.9% 34.1% -
Margin 69.5% 30.5% -4.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.9% 44.1% -
Efficiency 71.7% 28.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% -
Log Adjusted 69.1% 30.9% -
Points Off/Def 59.1% 40.9% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -13 (110-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 41 9-13 5-9 0-1 2 0 1 1 23 - -
Cameron Johnson * 35 6-10 5-7 1-2 6 0 2 0 18 - -
Chris Paul * 35 5-11 1-2 0-0 5 15 0 0 11 - -
Devin Booker * 32 12-24 3-6 6-6 9 4 0 0 33 - -
Jalen Smith * 16 4-7 2-3 2-2 5 1 0 1 12 - -
Bismack Biyombo 29 6-6 0-0 4-7 6 3 2 3 16 - -
Cameron Payne 21 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 5 0 0 4 - -
Elfrid Payton 12 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 0 3 - -
Justin Jackson 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Ish Wainright 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 37 4-9 1-3 6-6 11 5 0 0 15 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 35 10-18 0-2 5-6 16 2 0 0 25 - -
Devonte' Graham * 35 9-18 6-12 4-5 1 6 0 1 28 - -
Herbert Jones * 34 3-7 1-3 2-2 4 5 1 2 9 - -
Brandon Ingram * 33 5-18 0-4 6-8 6 5 1 0 16 - -
Garrett Temple 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 15 2-7 1-4 0-0 0 3 1 0 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes 12 2-4 0-1 1-1 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Jose Alvarado 10 0-4 0-2 4-4 0 0 2 0 4 - -
Gary Clark 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -

* = starter