Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✓ (22.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +25 (129-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 29 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 28 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 22 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 27 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 20 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Joe Wieskamp | 12 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Morris | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 32 | 12-23 | 7-14 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 31 | 8-16 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 30 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 27 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Justin Champagnie | 13 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter