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2022-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 19.1% 80.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 35.0% 65.0% +3.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -
Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.9% 39.1% -
Log Adjusted 60.9% 39.1% -
Points Off/Def 53.5% 46.5% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -4 (106-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 34 4-10 3-6 0-0 5 7 1 2 11 - -
Ja Morant * 33 9-21 0-1 8-9 5 6 2 2 26 - -
Steven Adams * 32 3-5 0-0 1-2 11 3 0 1 7 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 29 7-14 3-8 5-5 3 1 1 0 22 - -
Killian Tillie * 16 2-7 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Brandon Clarke 25 6-10 0-1 1-2 9 0 1 3 13 - -
Tyus Jones 24 6-10 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 12 - -
Jarrett Culver 15 0-3 0-1 2-4 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Ziaire Williams 13 4-7 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 10 - -
Santi Aldama 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 38 6-12 0-1 5-6 8 1 0 2 17 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 36 5-11 1-5 2-2 6 5 0 1 13 - -
Darius Garland * 35 9-26 3-10 6-6 4 10 0 0 27 - -
Jarrett Allen * 34 11-14 0-0 0-0 12 2 1 3 22 - -
Lamar Stevens * 24 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 - -
Kevin Love 28 6-18 4-11 2-3 10 2 0 0 18 - -
Dylan Windler 18 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Brandon Goodwin 17 1-5 0-3 0-2 4 3 1 0 2 - -
Dean Wade 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter