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2022-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 28.0% 72.0% -
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% -
Margin 60.6% 39.4% -2.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 63.6% 36.4% -
Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.2% 21.8% -
Log Adjusted 78.3% 21.7% -
Points Off/Def 67.2% 32.8% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +5 (136-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 37 17-26 7-12 15-15 4 14 0 0 56 - -
Kevin Huerter * 36 8-16 2-8 0-0 2 2 0 0 18 - -
Clint Capela * 31 10-10 0-0 2-5 11 1 0 0 22 - -
Skylar Mays * 21 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 4 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot * 18 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 2 1 1 8 - -
Danilo Gallinari 34 3-14 1-7 0-0 11 4 0 0 7 - -
Delon Wright 32 2-5 2-5 2-2 5 3 2 0 8 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 16 3-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 8 - -
Lou Williams 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 38 13-21 9-16 8-8 3 7 0 0 43 - -
Norman Powell * 36 9-13 2-5 6-7 6 4 4 0 26 - -
Nassir Little * 35 8-14 4-5 2-3 9 2 1 0 22 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 35 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 5 0 1 2 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 26 8-18 0-2 5-7 12 5 1 0 21 - -
Robert Covington 23 1-3 0-2 2-2 4 1 4 0 4 - -
Ben McLemore 21 4-9 2-7 0-0 0 1 0 0 10 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 1 3 - -
Trendon Watford 10 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 1 5 - -

* = starter