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2022-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 72.1% 27.9% -
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% -
Margin 27.8% 72.2% +5.2 (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 32.0% 68.0% -
Efficiency 14.2% 85.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.4% 83.6% -
Log Adjusted 16.4% 83.6% -
Points Off/Def 22.6% 77.4% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -9 (106-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 38 12-22 8-13 2-2 8 4 1 0 34 - -
Cade Cunningham * 37 8-15 3-7 0-0 4 7 0 1 19 - -
Trey Lyles * 34 5-12 1-4 0-0 7 3 1 0 11 - -
Hamidou Diallo * 32 5-12 0-2 1-3 9 5 1 0 11 - -
Killian Hayes * 23 2-5 0-3 1-2 2 4 1 0 5 - -
Justin Robinson 22 1-6 1-6 2-4 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Josh Jackson 19 9-13 5-7 1-1 5 2 1 0 24 - -
Luka Garza 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Saben Lee 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 5 4 0 0 2 - -
Micah Potter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 11-21 0-4 9-13 10 7 1 0 31 - -
Jrue Holiday * 35 11-19 4-8 3-4 5 5 2 0 29 - -
Bobby Portis * 29 5-12 2-6 0-0 14 0 0 0 12 - -
Grayson Allen * 27 2-11 1-8 0-0 4 3 2 0 5 - -
Khris Middleton * 27 3-10 1-6 3-3 6 2 0 0 10 - -
George Hill 24 1-6 0-5 1-1 3 2 3 1 3 - -
Pat Connaughton 22 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Wesley Matthews 18 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 4 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 14 3-5 2-4 1-1 2 0 1 0 9 - -
Rodney Hood 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter