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2022-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% - ✓
Margin 53.9% 46.1% -0.9 ✗ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - ✗
Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 56.7% 43.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 56.6% 43.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 50.0% 50.0% - ✗

Actual: Washington Wizards +3 (124-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 41 10-19 2-7 1-2 14 4 4 1 23 - -
Gordon Hayward * 38 11-22 2-6 3-3 8 4 2 0 27 - -
LaMelo Ball * 31 8-21 2-9 0-1 4 2 0 0 18 - -
Terry Rozier * 31 9-17 5-9 2-3 5 3 3 0 25 - -
Mason Plumlee * 27 4-4 0-0 0-0 7 7 0 2 8 - -
Cody Martin 23 2-6 2-3 1-2 1 2 2 0 7 - -
Jalen McDaniels 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 2 4 - -
Ish Smith 13 1-4 0-1 0-2 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 12 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 7 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 43 11-22 3-8 10-11 7 8 0 1 35 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 40 13-26 6-11 4-4 14 6 1 0 36 - -
Deni Avdija * 39 1-7 1-3 4-4 4 8 4 0 7 - -
Daniel Gafford * 35 6-7 0-0 3-4 11 2 0 3 15 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 30 2-11 0-5 1-2 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Corey Kispert 23 3-5 2-3 4-4 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Davis Bertans 20 4-8 4-7 2-2 4 1 0 0 14 - -
Alize Johnson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter