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2022-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 68.4% 31.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 53.9% 46.1% - ✗
Margin 64.4% 35.6% -3.3 ✗ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.1% 44.9% - ✗
Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 66.5% 33.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 66.6% 33.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 57.3% 42.7% - ✗

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +5 (108-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 37 7-19 0-6 4-6 7 4 1 1 18 - -
Malik Beasley * 36 6-18 4-11 0-0 1 0 1 0 16 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 31 1-2 0-0 1-2 12 2 2 0 3 - -
Patrick Beverley * 31 5-12 2-5 0-0 9 6 2 1 12 - -
Naz Reid * 30 10-17 0-4 3-4 11 2 0 0 23 - -
Jaylen Nowell 22 7-10 1-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 17 - -
Jaden McDaniels 21 3-6 1-3 0-0 8 0 1 0 7 - -
Nathan Knight 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Taurean Prince 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 5 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 39 7-15 3-9 9-12 7 5 3 1 26 - -
Malik Monk * 33 8-14 4-9 2-2 0 1 1 2 22 - -
Russell Westbrook * 33 7-16 0-5 6-8 3 5 1 1 20 - -
Avery Bradley * 27 5-7 2-4 2-2 4 1 4 0 14 - -
Stanley Johnson * 20 0-3 0-3 1-2 2 2 3 0 1 - -
Carmelo Anthony 28 5-10 3-7 1-1 1 2 1 1 14 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 22 2-7 0-2 2-2 5 2 1 0 6 - -
Austin Reaves 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Trevor Ariza 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter