Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -9 (86-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 31 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 24 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 27 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 23 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 14 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Wiggins * | 37 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 36 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 13 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome * | 30 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski * | 28 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 20 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 18 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rob Edwards | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter