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2022-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% -
Bradley-Terry 27.6% 72.4% -
Margin 18.0% 82.0% +8.3 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -
Efficiency 26.7% 73.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% -
Log Adjusted 31.1% 68.9% -
Points Off/Def 32.8% 67.2% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +4 (108-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 39 10-16 3-4 9-10 13 7 0 1 32 - -
Justin Holiday * 36 6-10 6-9 0-0 3 3 1 1 18 - -
Myles Turner * 36 4-11 2-5 2-4 10 3 2 3 12 - -
Keifer Sykes * 35 4-10 2-7 0-0 3 5 1 1 10 - -
Duane Washington Jr. * 34 8-17 4-9 0-0 3 1 1 0 20 - -
Torrey Craig 21 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Oshae Brissett 16 2-6 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Lance Stephenson 12 3-7 0-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 6 - -
Justin Anderson 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 34 11-16 0-2 2-4 9 4 0 0 24 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 33 5-12 2-6 0-0 6 2 0 1 12 - -
Jarrett Allen * 32 6-12 0-1 6-8 11 2 1 3 18 - -
Kevin Pangos * 26 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 4 0 0 7 - -
Isaac Okoro * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 - -
Lamar Stevens 31 6-13 0-4 3-4 3 2 1 0 15 - -
Kevin Love 29 6-13 3-6 5-5 8 4 1 0 20 - -
Brandon Goodwin 25 3-12 0-3 1-4 3 5 1 0 7 - -
Dean Wade 14 1-3 0-1 1-1 4 2 1 0 3 - -

* = starter