Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | -1.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -13 (111-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Campazzo * | 34 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 25 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 20 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Rayjon Tucker | 22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 14 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Petr Cornelie | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Carlik Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Theis * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 27 | 6-13 | 5-8 | 12-14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 21 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 31 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 23 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 22 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trevelin Queen | 14 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 11 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter