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2022-01-02

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 39.4% 60.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% - ✓
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 ✓ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 59.5% 40.5% - ✗
Efficiency 73.6% 26.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 70.8% 29.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 70.9% 29.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 60.1% 39.9% - ✗

Actual: Detroit Pistons +1 (117-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 42 5-13 0-4 8-10 3 14 1 1 18 - -
Devin Vassell * 41 7-16 5-12 0-0 4 4 3 0 19 - -
Keldon Johnson * 38 4-18 2-6 2-4 7 1 1 0 12 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 36 6-11 0-0 3-6 12 5 1 1 15 - -
Tre Jones * 32 6-10 0-1 3-3 7 3 0 0 15 - -
Bryn Forbes 34 10-22 5-10 2-3 7 2 0 0 27 - -
Jock Landale 17 3-4 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 1 8 - -
Joshua Primo 15 1-7 0-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 - -
Joe Wieskamp 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Drew Eubanks 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hamidou Diallo * 49 13-32 0-4 8-9 14 4 5 2 34 - -
Saddiq Bey * 46 7-23 2-12 5-6 17 3 2 0 21 - -
Derrick Walton Jr. * 40 3-11 1-5 4-4 6 6 4 0 11 - -
Luka Garza * 39 7-12 1-2 5-8 14 0 1 0 20 - -
Cassius Stanley * 36 6-8 3-4 4-4 3 1 0 1 19 - -
Justin Robinson 23 3-7 2-4 0-2 1 3 0 1 8 - -
Micah Potter 13 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 4 - -
Jaysean Paige 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Jamorko Pickett 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Deividas Sirvydis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter