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2022-01-01

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 27.6% 72.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.1% 74.9% - ✓
Margin 20.2% 79.8% +7.6 ✓ (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.9% 58.1% - ✓
Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 34.8% 65.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.6% 65.4% - ✓

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +23 (136-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Herbert Jones * 35 6-13 2-6 0-0 6 3 3 3 14 - -
Josh Hart * 35 5-13 1-6 3-9 11 9 1 1 14 - -
Devonte' Graham * 30 4-13 4-11 2-2 3 3 1 0 14 - -
Garrett Temple * 25 5-12 4-9 0-0 3 4 1 0 14 - -
Willy Hernangomez * 19 4-9 0-0 3-5 8 1 0 0 11 - -
Jaxson Hayes 27 9-12 0-0 5-5 7 1 0 1 23 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 26 4-16 4-13 1-3 5 0 0 0 13 - -
Gary Clark 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 - -
Tomas Satoransky 13 1-2 0-1 3-4 3 6 3 0 5 - -
Naji Marshall 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jose Alvarado 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Trey Murphy III 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 33 8-14 1-3 4-4 4 6 2 2 21 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 32 12-18 2-4 9-12 16 10 2 0 35 - -
Grayson Allen * 30 6-14 4-12 0-0 4 2 0 1 16 - -
Pat Connaughton * 28 3-6 3-6 0-0 6 3 1 1 9 - -
Bobby Portis * 21 5-11 4-6 0-0 6 1 0 0 14 - -
George Hill 20 2-4 2-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 8 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 18 2-6 1-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 5 - -
Jordan Nwora 18 9-11 5-7 0-0 4 0 0 0 23 - -
Wesley Matthews 15 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Rodney Hood 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Javonte Smart 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 - -
Javin DeLaurier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter