🐻⬇️🏀

@
2022-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 66.4% 33.6% -
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% -
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 (28.0 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% -
Efficiency 25.6% 74.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% -
Log Adjusted 27.9% 72.1% -
Points Off/Def 31.2% 68.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +33 (139-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 32 5-15 1-8 7-9 4 7 0 0 18 - -
Norman Powell * 31 4-15 0-5 4-6 3 3 2 1 12 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 25 6-9 1-1 0-0 9 0 0 0 13 - -
Tony Snell * 14 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Nassir Little * 13 1-7 0-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 - -
Ben McLemore 29 9-22 6-14 4-4 4 0 0 0 28 - -
Reggie Perry 26 2-6 1-1 2-2 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 24 2-8 0-2 0-1 7 6 1 1 4 - -
CJ Elleby 17 2-6 0-1 5-5 6 1 0 0 9 - -
Cameron McGriff 13 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 7 - -
Greg Brown III 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Jarron Cumberland 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 30 5-10 0-3 5-6 13 12 2 0 15 - -
LeBron James * 29 16-26 5-10 6-9 14 4 2 2 43 - -
Malik Monk * 29 6-11 2-5 4-4 4 1 0 1 18 - -
Avery Bradley * 25 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 5 - -
Stanley Johnson * 23 3-4 2-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Austin Reaves 26 3-7 1-4 3-3 1 1 1 0 10 - -
Trevor Ariza 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 22 2-4 0-0 6-6 3 3 0 1 10 - -
Carmelo Anthony 20 6-11 4-7 0-0 2 0 0 3 16 - -
Wayne Ellington 5 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Kent Bazemore 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 - -

* = starter