Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +13 (118-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 27 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 24 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - | |
| Derrick White * | 23 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 19 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 20 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 20 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Tre Jones | 19 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 19 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Jock Landale | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Joe Wieskamp | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 32 | 12-18 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 26 | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 31 | 8-20 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 5-17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 20 | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 28 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - | |
| Killian Tillie | 23 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 22 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Xavier Sneed | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Tyrell Terry | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Yves Pons | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Dakota Mathias | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter