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2022-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 22.0% 78.0% +7.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% -
Log Adjusted 46.3% 53.7% -
Points Off/Def 43.7% 56.3% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -3 (118-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wes Iwundu * 42 5-10 2-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 12 - -
Trae Young * 41 11-28 5-12 8-10 4 11 1 0 35 - -
Clint Capela * 39 9-17 0-0 0-0 23 2 1 4 18 - -
Skylar Mays * 22 7-11 4-5 1-1 3 0 2 0 19 - -
Cam Reddish * 10 0-3 0-2 2-2 0 0 3 0 2 - -
Lou Williams 31 3-12 1-6 7-7 3 5 0 0 14 - -
Cameron Oliver 24 4-9 1-3 1-1 2 2 1 0 10 - -
Chaundee Brown Jr. 20 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Lance Stephenson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 37 9-11 0-0 3-7 8 0 1 3 21 - -
Evan Mobley * 35 8-12 0-0 0-0 8 5 0 3 16 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 30 4-10 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 8 - -
Isaac Okoro * 30 4-4 1-1 1-3 2 5 0 0 10 - -
Kevin Pangos * 23 4-9 0-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 8 - -
Kevin Love 29 10-18 7-14 8-10 11 4 0 0 35 - -
Brandon Goodwin 24 6-9 0-1 1-2 4 6 0 0 13 - -
Lamar Stevens 15 3-10 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 1 7 - -
Dean Wade 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Dylan Windler 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter