Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.0% | 42.0% | -1.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -16 (96-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 37 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 34 | 11-19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 32 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 30 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Carlik Jones | 5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Charlie Brown Jr. | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| George King | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 32 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 31 | 3-14 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 24 | 7-14 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 24 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 19 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Robert Woodard II | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jahmi'us Ramsey | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter