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2021-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% -
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% -
Margin 45.1% 54.9% +1.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.6% 42.4% -
Log Adjusted 57.6% 42.4% -
Points Off/Def 51.0% 49.0% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -2 (106-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 35 8-24 1-3 11-12 3 6 3 0 28 - -
Zach LaVine * 35 7-17 0-3 3-3 6 4 1 2 17 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 6-16 2-7 0-0 16 4 0 0 14 - -
Coby White * 33 7-11 6-7 4-5 2 4 3 1 24 - -
Javonte Green * 27 0-3 0-1 2-2 4 2 2 1 2 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 21 0-1 0-0 3-4 2 2 0 1 3 - -
Matt Thomas 19 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 14 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Tyler Cook 13 1-3 0-0 3-4 5 0 2 0 5 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 39 8-14 1-2 7-8 14 6 1 2 24 - -
Caris LeVert * 37 11-22 1-5 4-7 6 6 1 1 27 - -
Justin Holiday * 34 5-12 5-9 1-2 4 1 1 0 16 - -
Duane Washington Jr. * 29 3-14 0-6 2-2 4 2 2 1 8 - -
Myles Turner * 18 2-5 1-3 5-6 6 1 0 1 10 - -
Oshae Brissett 31 4-12 0-3 1-2 7 2 1 1 9 - -
Torrey Craig 31 4-8 0-1 2-2 11 5 1 2 10 - -
Keifer Sykes 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Goga Bitadze 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Nate Hinton 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter