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2021-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.6% 63.4% -
Margin 23.2% 76.8% +6.6 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% -
Log Adjusted 45.7% 54.3% -
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +15 (123-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 37 7-26 1-5 7-7 6 4 2 0 22 - -
Cameron Johnson * 34 8-15 4-9 0-0 5 1 2 0 20 - -
Chris Paul * 33 6-15 2-6 0-0 5 8 2 0 14 - -
Mikal Bridges * 29 4-11 2-4 0-0 4 2 2 1 10 - -
Jalen Smith * 26 7-9 0-1 5-5 7 0 0 1 19 - -
Landry Shamet 23 2-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Cameron Payne 21 3-9 1-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 9 - -
Ish Wainright 12 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Emanuel Terry 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 - -
Elfrid Payton 10 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 1 2 0 5 - -
MJ Walker 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 39 10-18 0-2 4-5 9 3 0 0 24 - -
Jaylen Brown * 35 8-20 3-9 5-6 11 3 0 0 24 - -
Robert Williams III * 35 5-5 0-0 0-0 11 10 2 5 10 - -
Grant Williams * 34 6-11 0-3 3-3 4 1 1 1 15 - -
Al Horford * 25 1-5 0-1 2-2 7 7 0 0 4 - -
Josh Richardson 33 5-10 2-4 7-7 4 2 1 1 19 - -
Romeo Langford 23 6-10 2-5 2-3 3 1 2 0 16 - -
Payton Pritchard 12 4-4 3-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 11 - -

* = starter