Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | +1.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +7 (131-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Moody * | 36 | 10-23 | 5-12 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 34 | 11-19 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 21 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 29 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Chris Chiozza | 29 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 15 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 8-14 | 15 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 31 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 19 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 13 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter