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2021-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 76.6% 23.4% -
Bradley-Terry 71.0% 29.0% -
Margin 85.1% 14.9% -9.6 (26.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% -
Efficiency 66.8% 33.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Log Adjusted 64.2% 35.8% -
Points Off/Def 54.5% 45.5% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +17 (110-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 32 10-20 0-2 1-2 5 3 1 2 21 - -
Isaac Okoro * 30 3-7 2-3 3-4 1 1 0 0 11 - -
Kevin Love * 29 7-15 4-10 6-8 11 1 1 0 24 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 26 4-10 1-4 2-2 8 4 1 1 11 - -
Kevin Pangos * 24 1-8 0-3 0-0 2 6 0 0 2 - -
RJ Nembhard Jr. 21 1-5 0-1 1-2 0 2 0 0 3 - -
Dean Wade 21 2-4 0-1 0-1 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Lamar Stevens 21 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 7 - -
Dylan Windler 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 - -
Malik Newman 7 3-5 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Ed Davis 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tacko Fall 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 33 13-23 2-5 1-1 6 10 1 0 29 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 33 11-17 1-4 2-5 10 2 0 1 25 - -
Daniel Gafford * 32 5-6 0-0 1-2 9 1 1 5 11 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 27 4-8 4-6 0-0 2 4 2 1 12 - -
Brad Wanamaker * 27 2-5 0-0 3-3 5 7 2 0 7 - -
Corey Kispert 28 2-10 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Deni Avdija 24 5-12 1-5 2-2 6 1 0 0 13 - -
Anthony Gill 12 3-5 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Jordan Schakel 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Goodwin 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaime Echenique 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Todd 3 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 - -
Joel Ayayi 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Craig Sword 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter