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2021-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 36.0% 64.0% -
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% -
Margin 59.9% 40.1% -2.2 (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 62.3% 37.7% -
Efficiency 80.7% 19.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.7% 22.3% -
Log Adjusted 77.7% 22.3% -
Points Off/Def 66.7% 33.3% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -18 (118-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 33 8-11 3-4 6-6 5 7 3 2 25 - -
Khris Middleton * 32 6-15 3-7 7-7 3 6 1 0 22 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 30 13-22 1-4 6-6 12 5 2 2 33 - -
Bobby Portis * 26 5-9 0-1 1-2 9 0 0 0 11 - -
Grayson Allen * 22 1-5 1-4 1-2 0 0 1 0 4 - -
Pat Connaughton 21 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Wesley Matthews 21 3-5 3-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 11 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 18 2-8 2-3 5-6 9 1 0 0 11 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 16 5-7 0-1 5-5 5 0 0 2 15 - -
George Hill 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 34 6-12 2-3 6-6 3 1 0 0 20 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 33 5-11 1-4 3-5 10 5 1 1 14 - -
Gary Harris * 32 7-15 3-6 0-0 1 3 3 0 17 - -
Tim Frazier * 30 5-8 3-4 0-0 1 5 0 0 13 - -
Freddie Gillespie * 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 3 - -
R.J. Hampton 32 5-12 2-5 3-4 3 5 0 0 15 - -
Moritz Wagner 25 5-15 1-8 8-10 3 3 1 0 19 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 21 4-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Admiral Schofield 17 4-7 0-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 8 - -

* = starter