Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.0% | 42.0% | -1.8 | ✗ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +1 (95-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Ntilikina * | 38 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 36 | 11-19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 34 | 8-19 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 26 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Thomas | 13 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 20 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 18 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - |
* = starter