Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | +0.3 | ✓ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +18 (115-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Wiggins * | 38 | 10-19 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 35 | 3-18 | 0-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome * | 35 | 9-22 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 18 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Scotty Hopson | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 15 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Hoard | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rob Edwards | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 35 | 12-24 | 6-12 | 8-10 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 38 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 23 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 30 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 28 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chandler Hutchison | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Emanuel Terry | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter